These are the teams that take the most shots

LSU

(Gus Stark)

Recently I dropped in on a Division II practice and spoke with an analytically woke head coach who had two urgent messages for me. First, shot volume is great. Second, what happened to Tuesday Truths?

Let’s focus on that first highly perceptive part. Shot volume is just one half (how often you shoot) of one half (offense) of basketball, but it is, by far, the 25 percent of the sport that garners the least attention. It is this imbalance in explanatory bandwidth and not any silver-bullet features of the metric itself that is unfortunate. (It is no silver bullet. Ask Notre Dame.)

If you want to know how it’s possible, nay conceivable, that Illinois (still!) might wear home uniforms in its first-round NCAA tournament game despite being the least accurate team from the field in Big Ten play, our good friend X’s and O’s can’t solve that riddle alone. An awareness of shot volume can help.

As always, one of the most intriguing takeaways from these numbers is how the hoops gods seriously do not give a flying fig how you get the job done. Shot volume’s a stylistic buffet, and everyone’s invited. Whether you love offensive rebounds or choose to fear them the way early civilizations dreaded mirrors and solar eclipses, the bottom line on volume can turn out exactly the same….

                         TO%     OR%     SVI
53. Utah                19.7    29.5     93.6
54. Virginia Tech       15.8    19.8     93.6

Your national leader in shot volume, for now, is LSU, a team that has achieved the not inconsiderable feat of having the best offense in SEC play despite not shooting as accurately as its conference opponents. The Tigers take pretty good care of the ball, but, to the extent that there’s a secret sauce in Baton Rouge, it is that Darius Days and Emmitt Williams are very good at pulling down offensive boards.

At the other end of the shot volume buffet line we find Stanford, a team that once held promise for being an interesting case but now appears to be faltering its way out of tournament contention. Jerod Haase’s men never, ever get to shoot, a fact the group from Palo Alto has transcended, to an extent, with good defense and non-Colorado Pac-12-leading accuracy from the field.

In our end-of-regular-season shot volume update leading into Champ Week, we will expand our population of teams and consider the fascinating question of BYU. In the NASA-style control room at Shot Volume Headquarters, technicians in white lab coats have been huddled around the Cougars’ console pretty much all season long.

Could this BYU offense be about as good as Villanova 2018 if only the the prevailing attitude in Provo were a relaxed and naturalistic WCC 40th percentile view of offensive rebounds instead of fearing them the way early civilizations dreaded mirrors and solar eclipses? Possibly.

Shot volume index (SVI)
Major-conference games only, through Feb. 17: ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC

Gluttonous               TO%     OR%     SVI
1.  LSU                 16.5    36.2    100.5
2.  Auburn              16.7    35.3     99.8
3.  Illinois            16.3    33.3     99.3
4.  Michigan            14.0    27.0     99.0
5.  Purdue              16.3    32.4     98.9
6.  Arizona             16.0    31.2     98.7
7.  Minnesota           15.7    30.4     98.7
8.  St. John's          14.0    25.8     98.5
9.  Baylor              18.4    36.5     98.3
10. Rutgers             16.2    30.9     98.3
11. Notre Dame          14.9    27.5     98.2
12. Villanova           13.4    23.9     98.2
13. Syracuse            15.9    29.6     98.1
14. Penn State          14.4    25.8     98.0
15. Iowa                17.0    31.9     97.9
16. Pitt                16.6    30.9     97.9

Normal                   TO%     OR%     SVI
17. Georgetown          16.2    29.0     97.4
18. Duke                17.6    31.4     96.9
19. Marquette           16.6    28.9     96.9
20. Mississippi State   19.3    35.8     96.9
21. Oregon              17.0    29.8     96.9
22. Louisville          18.0    32.1     96.8
23. Wisconsin           14.4    23.4     96.8
24. Kentucky            17.5    30.4     96.6
25. Florida             18.1    31.3     96.3
26. Kansas              18.0    31.0     96.3
27. Nebraska            14.3    22.1     96.3
28. North Carolina      19.3    34.3     96.2
29. Alabama             17.1    28.4     96.1
30. Butler              17.9    30.3     96.1
31. NC State            17.2    28.6     96.1
32. Oregon State        16.2    26.1     96.1
33. Providence          19.6    34.3     95.9
34. Xavier              19.0    32.7     95.8
35. Colorado            17.7    28.4     95.4
36. Indiana             19.2    32.1     95.4
37. South Carolina      18.5    30.5     95.4
38. Arkansas            14.7    20.9     95.3
39. Florida State       19.8    33.1     95.1 (average, huzzah)
40. Creighton           16.1    23.5     95.0
41. Michigan State      18.4    29.2     95.0
42. Oklahoma State      19.0    30.5     94.9
43. Texas A&M           20.6    34.8     94.9
44. UCLA                20.2    33.7     94.9
45. West Virginia       23.2    41.7     94.8
46. Maryland            18.0    27.6     94.7
47. Oklahoma            16.6    23.2     94.3
48. Seton Hall          18.9    29.1     94.3
49. Ole Miss            17.3    24.5     94.1
50. Northwestern        15.6    20.4     94.1
51. Miami               18.3    26.6     93.9
52. Ohio State          19.1    28.2     93.7
53. Utah                19.7    29.5     93.6
54. Virginia Tech       15.8    19.8     93.6
55. Washington State    17.4    23.3     93.4
56. Arizona State       19.3    27.6     93.2
57. USC                 20.7    31.3     93.2
58. Tennessee           20.2    29.7     93.1
59. Boston College      18.5    25.2     93.0
60. Clemson             17.5    22.7     93.0
61. Missouri            20.2    29.5     93.0
62. DePaul              20.7    30.5     92.9

Starving                 TO%     OR%     SVI
63. Georgia             21.1    30.1     92.2
64. California          19.3    25.1     92.1
65. Vanderbilt          18.1    21.8     91.9
66. Virginia            20.2    27.1     91.9
67. Wake Forest         21.2    29.2     91.7
68. Iowa State          20.9    28.2     91.6
69. Texas Tech          20.4    26.8     91.6
70. Georgia Tech        22.4    31.5     91.3
71. Kansas State        20.9    26.9     91.0
72. Texas               20.7    25.9     90.8
73. Washington          22.5    28.4     89.8
74. TCU                 23.5    30.4     89.5
75. Stanford            20.8    22.1     89.0

AVG                     18.1    28.9     95.1

Let’s revisit this in a few weeks. See you then.

Source: johngasaway.com

These are the teams that take the most shots