A Few More Active Monsoon Days Before We Dry Out

The Monsoon season has been extremely active over New Mexico, southern Colorado and eastern Arizona in the last few weeks. While we will see additional moisture through the start of the weekend, the monsoon season backs off headed into the first full week of July.

Outlooks

The risk for excessive rainfall and flooding continues through the beginning of the work week. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted the potential for excessive rainfall Friday and Saturday.

The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted the Four Corner region for general thunderstorms today with a few stronger storms in eastern Colorado. Occasional strong storms with gusty winds are possible, but the organized severe weather risk remains low.

The extended outlook from the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) shows high confidence in dry time across the four corners through the beginning of July. This gives soils in New Mexico time to recover after an above average month for rainfall, but for drought stricken regions of the Southwest, more dry time will spell higher fire danger still.

Forecast

We will see up to 1″ of additional rainfall through the beginning of the weekend. The additional moisture will continue to slowly chip away at the drought conditions.

Showers and thunderstorms will be diurnally driven as they have been the last few days, this means that showers and thunderstorms will fire up in the heat of the day and then die down shortly after sundown.

The next few days will be a rinse and repeat cycle in terms of timing and potential for rainfall. The Baron forecast model hints at pockets of heavy rain, an additional 1″ in isolated spots will be expected through the rest of the week.

For more on the Monsoon Season and rain potential, join WeatherNation for the Western Regional forecast at :50 past the hour.

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A Few More Active Monsoon Days Before We Dry Out