Heavy Rain & Strong Storms for Florida this Weekend

After a dry few days, rain is returning to the Sunshine state, just in time for the weekend. We have the opportunity for strong and severe storms along a stalled stationary boundary Friday afternoon and more significantly on Saturday. We have the potential for severe weather as there is plenty of energy in the area for storms to work with. At the surface, we have lots of moisture in the form of high dewpoints for these storms to work with.


We have the risk for severe weather on Friday through southern Georgia and most of Florida. We have the potential for damaging winds with any thunderstorm that develops.

Showers and thunderstorms develop in heat of the day along a frontal boundary hanging out by I10. What starts as a few showers becomes much more numerous around dinnertime.

Activity dies down later Friday night with just a few non-severe thunderstorms hanging around central Florida.


In the heat of the day on Saturday storms fire back up again, with widespread thunderstorms along the stalled frontal boundary and area of low pressure. We will focus on that storm potential around Daytona Beach, Gainesville and Jacksonville.

Showers and storms fire north of I-10 through the afternoon and evening. This will be much needed rain for the area given the heat and humidity over the past few days.

Strong storms could be possible along Florida’s panhandle later Saturday night. Be prepared for heavy rain and damaging wind gusts.

Rain Threat

We have the risk of heavy rain within thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Pockets of 4″+ are possible through the Florida panhandle. This area has been relatively dry over the last few days, so grounds should be able to absorb the incoming moisture.


Still, the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has highlighted the marginal risk (level 1 out of 4) for excessive rainfall through Sunday.


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Heavy Rain & Strong Storms for Florida this Weekend