Rain Continues in the Southwest

We have seen significant rainfall in the Southwest over the last few days, which has been aiding in fire containment. We have a couple areas in New Mexico under Flash Flood Alerts (above) through today as rainfall could cause flash flooding around area burn scars.

Recap

We’ve seen upwards of 6″ of rain in the past 7 days which has chipped away at our deficit, but many locations are still under drought conditions. Some of the heaviest rainfall occurred Monday.

New Mexico has far exceeded what they typically see in a 30 day period while other parts of the Southwest are still struggling with below average rainfall.

Outlooks

The risk for excessive rainfall and flooding continues through the beginning of the workweek. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted the potential for excessive rainfall for the next couple of days from the Mexico border up into northern Colorado.

The extended forecast keeps moisture around in the Four Corners Region through the beginning of July. This year’s monsoon season is off to an active start!

Occasional strong storms with gusty winds are possible as well, but the organized severe weather risk remains low.

Our bigger threat will be for dry thunderstorms to start fires – or storms that possess more lightning and gusty winds than they do meaningful rainfall.

Forecast

Showers and thunderstorms will be diurnally driven as they have been the last few days – this means we anticipate showers and thunderstorms to fire up in the heat of the day, around 1-4 PM, and then die down shortly after sundown.

The next few days will be a rinse and repeat kind of situation in terms of timing of these storms and potential for rainfall.

Not everyone will see a storm, but those who do have the risk of heavy rain, flash flooding and gusty winds along with lightning.

Our forecast model hints at pockets of heavy rain, maybe an additional 1″ in isolated spots, into the middle of this week.

For more on the monsoon season and rain potential, join WeatherNation for the Western Regional forecast at :50 past the hour.

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Rain Continues in the Southwest