Rainy Pattern Sticks Around in the Southwest

We have seen significant rainfall in the Southwest over the last few days, which has been aiding in fire containment. We’ve seen upwards of 4″ of rain in the past 48 hours, leading to this concern with any additional moisture incoming this week! In Colorado and New Mexico there is the risk of heavy rain around burn scars from recent wildfires which can create the concern for flash flooding there too.

Outlooks

The risk for excessive rainfall and flooding continues through the end of the work week and start of the weekend. More significant moisture is on the way by Sunday, which we will discuss below. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted the potential for excessive rainfall for the next three days from the Mexico border up into northern Colorado.

Forecast

Our forecast model hints at an additional 1-3″ of rain across New Mexico and southern Colorado – detrimental to the soils that aren’t held in place by roots (because of wildfires) but also soils that are generally dry, think of it as concrete that has a hard time absorbing new moisture.

A more significant push of moisture arrives on Saturday into Sunday as a cold front slides across the four corners region.

A decent shield of rain will develop across Colorado and New Mexico Saturday afternoon, some storms carrying locally heavy rain and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning!

Widespread heavy rain will be felt overnight Saturday into Sunday. Due to the nighttime nature of these storms, flash flooding may catch you off-guard. Please have a way to get alerts especially if you live near a recent burn scar.

In a rare turn of events, some rain will last through much of Saturday night across this region! This doesn’t happen often, as usually the rain dissipates at night.

 

Heavy rain, beneficial to the high plains will be possible early Sunday morning across southeast Colorado.

We will see heavy rain continue in the high terrain of Colorado on Sunday and along the stalled frontal boundary through New Mexico on Sunday afternoon and evening.

 

For more on the monsoon season and rain potential, join WeatherNation for the Western Regional forecast at :50 past the hour.

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Rainy Pattern Sticks Around in the Southwest