establishment survey

6 min read 2021-12-04 04:10:01

The Repeating Tides of Payroll And Inflation

There were all kinds of good news in the August payroll report. The Bureau of Labor Statistics would publish an acceleration in headline numbers,

1 min read 2021-11-06 06:05:53

It is one of the most important results to look for, a payroll cue which opens up the question to much bigger issues. A recession or any serious

7 min read 2021-04-08 05:01:23

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) estimates that in the month of March 2021 somewhere around 916,000 payrolls were added back to the economy. I

6 min read 2021-04-06 04:36:05

Last Friday’s March 2021 payroll report exceeded expectations in nearly every category. Analysts were hoping for something like the ADP’s private

5 min read 2021-03-06 05:15:29

At first glance, the numbers weren’t bad. Maybe even borderline OK. The headline payroll figure nearly doubled consensus estimates, even better

7 min read 2021-02-06 05:20:57

The good news, such that it might be, is that the BLS – using data from the Census Bureau – believes that the American population is slowing

6 min read 2021-01-09 05:45:23

ADP let the cat of the bag on Wednesday when the payroll processing provider announced it believed the level of private employment had declined in

7 min read 2020-12-05 05:07:56

Bad news is good news? The payroll report for November 2020, like those of the previous four months, have only further corroborated and confirmed the

5 min read 2020-11-07 05:13:12

The payroll report for the month of October 2020 was a very good one. This shouldn’t be surprising, perfect BLS publications appear with regularity

6 min read 2020-10-03 03:30:04

The BLS’s payroll report draws most of the mainstream attention, with the exception of the unemployment rate (especially these days). The

7 min read 2020-09-05 05:58:36

The star of the show once again was the unemployment rate. Since the ratio is a byproduct of the Household Survey, not the Establishment Survey, that

6 min read 2020-08-11 05:27:37

What happens when we are stunned and dazed? We filter out the noise to focus on the bare basics by getting back to our instincts, acting reflexively

8 min read 2020-08-08 03:39:08

I’ve always disliked the ritual of Payroll Friday because that’s what it is. The BLS doesn’t even measure the change in payrolls, for crying

5 min read 2020-07-03 03:02:20

What a difference a month makes. The euphoria clearly fading even as the positive numbers grow bigger still. The era of gigantic pluses is only

7 min read 2020-06-06 03:35:00

Honestly, what did everyone think was going to happen? I know, I’ve seen the analyst estimates. They were talking like another six or seven