Logic Produces Gradual Change, Emotion Produces Rapid Change
Say that you were studying for a Ph.D. in history. Over a number of years, your knowledge of the subject would increase. Week by week, month by
Say that you were studying for a Ph.D. in history. Over a number of years, your knowledge of the subject would increase. Week by week, month by
Have you ever had a friend who was an alcoholic? If you have, you know how frustrating it can be trying to get one of the humans to focus on what is
We all know what the word “overvaluation” means. But we all pretend not to know. If we didn’t, the CAPE value could never rise to the level
Valuation-Informed investment strategies are an exercise in time travel. Today’s CAPE value is 35. That’s double the fair-value CAPE value of 17.
The Buy-and-Hold “idea” is an absurdity. I know that many people will find that a provocative and offensive and probably ill-informed statement.
The most important question in stock investing is whether investors are rational and always set prices properly or valuations affect long-term
I’ve heard it said that the most important choice that an investor makes is the amount of his stock allocation. I can see it. Choices That A
I’ve heard it said that the most important choice that an investor makes is the amount of his stock allocation. I can see it. Choices That A
The late John Bogle was widely perceived as a severe critic of market timing. For good reason. Bogle had a riff that he liked to use in speeches in
The late John Bogle was widely perceived as a severe critic of market timing. For good reason. Bogle had a riff that he liked to use in speeches in
There are two types of stock gains. There are real gains, which are rooted in economic productivity, and there is irrational exuberance, which is
There are two types of stock gains. There are real gains, which are rooted in economic productivity, and there is irrational exuberance, which is
Shiller changed everything that we once thought we knew about stock investing when he published research showing that valuations affect long-term
Shiller changed everything that we once thought we knew about stock investing when he published research showing that valuations affect long-term
Robert Shiller’s research brought on a “revolutionary” (this word appears in the subtitle of Shiller’s book) advance in our understanding of